Power Sector in India
India is the third largest producer and second largest consumer of electricity in the world and had an installed power capacity of 382.73 GW as of April 2021. Electricity production reached 1,252.61 billion units (BU) in FY20. India was ranked fifth in wind power, fifth in solar power and fourth in renewable power installed capacity, as of 2019. India’s rank jumped to 22 in 2019 from 137 in 2014 on World Bank’s Ease of Doing Business - "Getting Electricity" rankings.
For 2020-21, electricity generation target from conventional sources was fixed at 1,330 BU, comprising 1138.533 BU of thermal energy; hydro energy (140.357 BU) and nuclear (43.880 BU); and 7.230 BU was imported from Bhutan.
According to the Ministry of Power, India's power consumption grew 41% at 119.27 billion units (BU) in April 2021, compared with 84.55 BU in April 2020.
Renewable energy is fast emerging as a major source of power in India. The Government of India has set a target to install 227 GW of renewable energy capacity by FY22. As of June 2019, the Government launched US$ 5 billion of transmission-line tenders in phases and has set a target of 175 GW by 2022. As of February 2021, India had an installed renewable energy capacity of 94.43 GW.
In the current decade (2020-2029), the Indian electricity sector is likely to witness a major transformation with respect to demand growth, energy mix and market operations.
The Cabinet Committee on Economic Affairs (CCEA) has approved commercial coal mining for private sector and the methodology of allocating coal mines via auction and allotment, thereby prioritising transparency, ease of doing business and ensuring the use of natural resources for national development.
India aims to reduce emissions intensity of its gross domestic product (GDP) by 33% to 35% by 2030 from 2005 levels and increase the share of non-fossil fuels to 40% of the total electricity generation capacity.
For 2020-21, electricity generation target from conventional sources was fixed at 1,330 BU, comprising 1138.533 BU of thermal energy; hydro energy (140.357 BU) and nuclear (43.880 BU); and 7.230 BU was imported from Bhutan.
According to the Ministry of Power, India's power consumption grew 41% at 119.27 billion units (BU) in April 2021, compared with 84.55 BU in April 2020.
Renewable energy is fast emerging as a major source of power in India. The Government of India has set a target to install 227 GW of renewable energy capacity by FY22. As of June 2019, the Government launched US$ 5 billion of transmission-line tenders in phases and has set a target of 175 GW by 2022. As of February 2021, India had an installed renewable energy capacity of 94.43 GW.
In the current decade (2020-2029), the Indian electricity sector is likely to witness a major transformation with respect to demand growth, energy mix and market operations.
The Cabinet Committee on Economic Affairs (CCEA) has approved commercial coal mining for private sector and the methodology of allocating coal mines via auction and allotment, thereby prioritising transparency, ease of doing business and ensuring the use of natural resources for national development.
India aims to reduce emissions intensity of its gross domestic product (GDP) by 33% to 35% by 2030 from 2005 levels and increase the share of non-fossil fuels to 40% of the total electricity generation capacity.
Market Size
Indian power sector is undergoing a significant change that has redefined the industry outlook. Sustained economic growth continues to drive electricity demand in India. The Government of India’s focus on attaining ‘Power for all’ has accelerated capacity addition in the country. At the same time, the competitive intensity is increasing at both the market and supply sides (fuel, logistics, finances, and manpower).
By 2022, solar energy is estimated to contribute 114 GW, followed by 67 GW from wind power and 15 GW from biomass and hydropower. The target for renewable energy has been increased to 227 GW by 2022.
In FY22*, the total thermal installed capacity in the country stood at 234.72 GW. Installed capacity of renewable, hydro and nuclear energy totalled 95.01 GW, 46.20 GW and 6.78 GW, respectively.
Investment Milestones in Power (1/2)
Between April 2000 and September 2020, the industry attracted US$ 15.23 billion in Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), accounting for 3% of total FDI inflow in India.
Some major investments and developments in the Indian power sector are as follows:
Some major investments and developments in the Indian power sector are as follows:
- In April 2021, GE Renewable Energy announced to supply 42 units of 2.7-132 onshore wind turbines, totaling 110 MW for onshore wind hybrid projects to CleanMax.
- In March 2021, Actis LLP, a private equity firm, planned to invest US$ 850 million to build two green energy platforms in India. According to the firm, the first platform will focus on setting up grid-connected solar and wind power parks, while the second platform will tailor to the commercial and industrial segment.
- In January 2021, TOTAL acquired a 20% stake in Adani Green Energy. In addition, as a part of this deal, TOTAL undertook 50% in 2.35 GW portfolio of operating solar assets in Adani Energy Limited. The combined deal amount was worth US$ 2.5 billion.
- In December 2020, the Asian Development Bank (ADB) and the Government of India signed a US$ 100 million loan to modernise and upgrade the power distribution system for enhancing the quality and reliability of electricity supply in Bengaluru, Karnataka.
- In January 2021, Tata Power received a letter of award (LOA) from Kerala State Electricity Board Limited (KSEBL) to develop a 110 MW solar project. With this, Tata Power’s renewable capacity will increase to 4,032 MW, out of which 2,667 MW is operational and 1365 MW is under implementation, including 110 MW won under this LOA.
Investment Milestones in Power (2/2)
- In December 2020, the foundation stones of India’s largest hybrid renewable energy park having 30 GW capacity was laid in Gujarat at Vighakot village in the district of Kutch. The estimated cost of this project is ~Rs. 1.5 lakh crore (US$ 20.44 billion).
- In December 2020, The Asian Development Bank (ADB) and Government of India signed a US$ 132.8 million loan to strengthen and modernise the distribution network and improve quality of power supplied to households, industries and businesses in Meghalaya.
- In March 2020, the Central Government signed virtual agreement to conclude strategic sales in Kamarajar Port Ltd, THDC India Ltd and North Eastern Electric Power Corporation Limited (NEEPCO), and it will receive Rs. 13,500 crore (US$ 1.93 billion) from these deals.
- In December 2019, NTPC announced investment of Rs. 50,000 crore (US$ 7.26 billion) to add 10GW solar energy capacity by 2022.
- In August 2019, Sembcorp Industries, the Singapore-based energy firm, made an equity infusion of Rs. 521 crore (US$ 101.6 million) into Sembcorp Energy India Ltd.
- Brookfield will invest US$ 800 million in ReNew Power.
- In September 2019, Adani Transmission planned to acquire the entire stake in Bikaner Khetri Transmission.
- ReNew Power and Shapoorji Pallonji will invest nearly Rs. 750 crore (US$ 0.11 billion) in a 150 megawatt (mw) floating solar power project in Uttar Pradesh.
- The Government of India expected to offer nearly 20 power transmission projects worth Rs. 16,000 crore (US$ 2.22 billion) for bidding in 2019.
Regulatory and Policy Initiatives by Government
The Government of India has identified power sector as a key sector of focus to promote sustained industrial growth. Some initiatives by the Government to boost the Indian power sector are as below:
- In April 2021, the Ministry of Power (MoP) released the draft National Electricity Policy (NEP) 2021. The MoP has created an expert committee including members from state governments, the Ministry of New and Renewable Energy (MNRE), NITI Aayog and the Central Electricity Authority (CEA).
- As per the Central Electricity Authority (CEA) estimates, by 2029-30 the share of renewable energy generation would increase from 18% to 44%, while that of thermal is expected to reduce from 78% to 52%.
- On November 17, 2020, Energy Efficiency Services Limited (EESL), a joint venture of PSUs under the Ministry of Power and Department of New & Renewable Energy (DNRE), Goa, signed a memorandum of understanding to discuss roll-out of India’s first Convergence Project in the state.
- In October 2020, the government announced a plan to set up an inter-ministerial committee under NITI Aayog to forefront research and study on energy modelling. This, along with a steering committee, will serve the India Energy Modelling Forum (IEMF) jointly launched by NITI Aayog and the United States Agency for International Development (USAID)
- The Government of India has allocated Rs. 111 lakh crore (US$ 1.4 trillion) under the National Infrastructure Pipeline for FY 2019-25. The energy sector is likely to account for 24% capital expenditure over FY 2019-25.
- Government plans to establish renewable energy capacity of 500 GW by 2030.
- Pradhan Mantri Sahaj Bijli Har Ghar Yojana-Saubhagya was launched by Government of India with an aim to achieve universal household electrification by March 2019.
- In September 2018, a draft amendment to Electricity Act, 2003 was introduced. It discussed separation of content & carriage, direct benefit transfer of subsidy, 24*7 power supply as an obligation, penalisation on violation of PPA, setting up smart meter and prepaid peters along with regulations related to the same.
- Ujwal Discoms Assurance Yojana (UDAY) was launched by the Government to encourage operational and financial turnaround of State-owned Power Distribution Companies (DISCOMS) with an aim to reduce Aggregate Technical & Commercial (AT&C) losses to 15% by FY19.
Developmental Milestones in Power Sector
Following are the achievements of the Government in the past four years:
- According to the Union Budget 2021-22, 139 GW of installed capacity and 1.41 lakh circuit km of transmission lines were added and 2.8 crore households were connected in the past 6 years.
- Solar tariffs in India have reduced from ~Rs. 7.36/kWh (US 10 cents/kWh) in FY15 to Rs. 2.63/kWh (US 3.57 cents/kWh) in FY20.
- As December 2020, over 36.69 crore LED bulbs, 1.14 crore LED tube lights and 23 lakh energy-efficient fans have been distributed across the country, saving ~47.65 billion kWh per year.
- In the first half of November 2020, India's power consumption increased 7.8% to 50.15 billion units (BU), indicating an improvement in economic activity, according to government data. According to data from the power ministry, power consumption in the country was registered at 46.52 BU between November 1 and November 15 last year.
- For FY21, electricity generation attained from conventional sources was at 1234.44 BU, comprising 1,032.39 BU of thermal energy; hydro energy (150.30 BU) and nuclear (42.94 BU). Of this, 8.79 BU was imported from Bhutan.
- NTPC Ltd.’s oldest unit in Singrauli, Uttar Pradesh, has achieved the highest Plant Load Factor (PLF) of 100.24% among all thermal units in the country between April 2020 and December 2020.
- India’s rank jumped to 22 in 2019 from 137 in 2014 on World Bank’s Ease of doing business - "Getting Electricity" ranking.
- Energy deficit reduced to 0.7% in FY20 from 4.2% in FY14.
- As of April 28, 2018, 100% village electrification was achieved under Deen Dayal Upadhyaya Gram Jyoti Yojana (DDUGJY).
The Road Ahead
The Government of India has released its roadmap to achieve 227 GW capacity in renewable energy (including 114 GW of solar power and 67 GW of wind power) by 2022. The Union Government of India is preparing a 'rent a roof' policy for supporting its target of generating 40 gigawatts (GW) of power through solar rooftop projects by 2022.
Coal-based power-generation capacity in India, which currently stands at 199.5 GW, is expected to witness total installed capacity addition of 47.86 GW by 2022.
Coal-based power-generation capacity in India, which currently stands at 199.5 GW, is expected to witness total installed capacity addition of 47.86 GW by 2022.
Section -8
The ripple effects of a tumultuous 2020 are likely to be even more enduring and impactful than the forces that initially triggered them. In the aftermath of Covid the government is determined to build the economy through incentives like PLI schemes to boost domestic manufacturing, amending FDI regulations, setting aside startup funds, accelerating digital transformation, building infrastructure and going ahead with its ambitious disinvestment and asset monetization plans.
All of this would entail administrations pulling regulatory and legislative levers to implement its priorities. We are here to help your business along with implications for how to respond to shifts. Numerous companies and hyper growth startups have been a beneficiary of our advocacies and interventions.
All of this would entail administrations pulling regulatory and legislative levers to implement its priorities. We are here to help your business along with implications for how to respond to shifts. Numerous companies and hyper growth startups have been a beneficiary of our advocacies and interventions.
Section - 9
We have reimagined the ways how the process of new age policy making would be.
Over the last decade, the government has taken a more professional approach to policy making.There has been a movement away from policy advice by generalists to one informed by concepts of risk, management, and delivery of services.
Our approach to policy advisory incorporates the perspectives of ministers as well as civil servants, since policy is the responsibility of both parties, and a product of their joint efforts. Bureaucrats, members of standing committees, joint parliamentary committees and opinion leaders can be persuaded to take a more proactive and participatory role in the emerging grey areas in policy dialogues.
Over the last decade, the government has taken a more professional approach to policy making.There has been a movement away from policy advice by generalists to one informed by concepts of risk, management, and delivery of services.
Our approach to policy advisory incorporates the perspectives of ministers as well as civil servants, since policy is the responsibility of both parties, and a product of their joint efforts. Bureaucrats, members of standing committees, joint parliamentary committees and opinion leaders can be persuaded to take a more proactive and participatory role in the emerging grey areas in policy dialogues.
Section -10
India remains a complex market. It is best to view India not as a single market, but as a series of interconnected regional markets where the regulatory and investment climate changes from one state to another.
Many states have created investment cells to attract business and have framed policies around them but the lack of coherence between the launch of new policy initiatives and policy stewardship leaves a lot to be desired. While most of the state civil servants acknowledge that they have to be innovative in their approach, there is a lack of clarity over what this means in practice. The ensuing implementation of reform policies is therefore likely to be heavily shaped by the culture. It has been the case that few states in India, receive the new policy ideas like Smart City Mission and Ayushman Bharat very attractive and scalable yet difficult to implement due to logistical and legacy issues.
To correct such perceptual anomalies and resistance, policy discussion needs to be tailored to the culture and existing economic opportunity present in the state.
Many states have created investment cells to attract business and have framed policies around them but the lack of coherence between the launch of new policy initiatives and policy stewardship leaves a lot to be desired. While most of the state civil servants acknowledge that they have to be innovative in their approach, there is a lack of clarity over what this means in practice. The ensuing implementation of reform policies is therefore likely to be heavily shaped by the culture. It has been the case that few states in India, receive the new policy ideas like Smart City Mission and Ayushman Bharat very attractive and scalable yet difficult to implement due to logistical and legacy issues.
To correct such perceptual anomalies and resistance, policy discussion needs to be tailored to the culture and existing economic opportunity present in the state.
